Janice Tjen vs Caty McnallyEastbourne Round of 32

Eastbourne · WTA · Round of 32
#37WTA
1658ELO
1532Grass ELO
$818kYTD
$1.2MCAREER
24 yrs · 171 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLWLLL
1 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 23 June 2026 ·
grass
#70WTA
1817ELO
1707Grass ELO
$711kYTD
$3.7MCAREER
24 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWLW
Tjen J.
5-7 7-6 3-6
Mcnally C.
Tjen J.
5731
Mcnally C.
7662

Caty Mcnally defeated Janice Tjen in the Round of 32 at Eastbourne, advancing with a 7-5, 6-7, 6-3 victory on grass. Mcnally converted 40% of her break points, securing two service breaks to Tjen's one, and won despite a lower first-serve win percentage and more double faults. Mcnally did not hit an ace, while Tjen had two.

Key context

  • Match story: Caty Mcnally closed it out in three sets, 7–5 6–7 6–3.

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-07-25W100 Evansville 1QFhardCaty Mcnally6-2 7-6(3)

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
60%
72%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
65%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
43%
Service points won·Even
57%
55%
Return points won·Slight edge
40%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
51%
58%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.2
1.2
Double faults / match·Even
3.3
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
78
45
Break points saved·Dominant
84
31
Break points won·Slight edge
85
94
Deciding sets·Dominant
75
33
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
99
79

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Tjen J.32%
Mcnally C.68%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Mcnally C. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.4Grass Elo 1487
Surface ELO
5.6+46 Grass Elo edge
4.1Overall Elo 1627
ELO gap
5.9Overall Elo 1700
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
3.02 of last 6 on grass
Surface form
7.28 of last 10 on grass
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
76
76

Tjen J.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 37 games (7d) · Mcnally C.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 38 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
24°CClear
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 64%

Draw