Matteo Arnaldi vs Toby SamuelEastbourne Qualifying Final

Eastbourne · ATP · Qualifying Final
#34ATP
1830ELO
1630Grass ELO
$1.2MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWLLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Sunday, 21 June 2026 ·
grass
#113ATP
1745ELO
1595Grass ELO
$217kYTD
$332kCAREER
23 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLLW
Arnaldi M.
3-6 6-4 6-4
Samuel T.
Arnaldi M.
3662
Samuel T.
6441

Matteo Arnaldi defeated Toby Samuel 3-6 6-4 6-4 in the Eastbourne qualifying final on grass. The result followed the form book — Matteo Arnaldi came in ranked #34.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
68%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
55%
Service points won·Even
61%
64%
Return points won·Even
39%
42%
Break points saved·Even
62%
66%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.3
3.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.8
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.8Grass Elo 1496
Surface ELO
5.2+16 Grass Elo edge
7.1Overall Elo 1825
ELO gap
2.9Overall Elo 1653
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.36 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
6.06 of last 10 on grass
9.06-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
80
100

Arnaldi M.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 30 games (7d) · Samuel T.: 21 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast

Draw