

Flavio Cobolli defeated Daniil Medvedev 6-3 5-7 6-4 in the Madrid Masters round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Daniil Medvedev came in ranked #7, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's quarter-final. Flavio Cobolli claimed a first win over Daniil Medvedev in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-26 | Beijing | QF | hard | Daniil Medvedev | 6-2 6-4 |
| 2024-08-26 | US Open | R32 | hard | Daniil Medvedev | 6-3 6-4 6-3 |
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (42 vs 37). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Cobolli F.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 60 games (7d) · Medvedev D.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 55 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About