

Karolina Muchova defeated Elina Svitolina 6-4 2-6 6-4 in the Stuttgart semi-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Elina Svitolina came in leading the head-to-head 3–0. Karolina Muchova claimed a first win over Elina Svitolina in four meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 3–1.
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-18 | Miami | R32 | hard | Elina Svitolina | 6-2 3-6 6-2 |
| 2019-07-01 | Wimbledon | QF | grass | Elina Svitolina | 7-5 6-4 |
| 2019-02-11 | Doha | QF | hard | Elina Svitolina | 6-4 6-2 |
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (41 vs 41). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Svitolina E.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About