Jessica Pegula vs Jelena OstapenkoIndian Wells Round of 32

Indian Wells · WTA · Round of 32
#3WTA
2097ELO
2058Hard ELO
$3.5MYTD
$25MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWWLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 4 March 2026 ·
hard
#30WTA
1855ELO
1794Hard ELO
$1.5MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 177 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLWWWL
Pegula J.
4-6 6-3 6-2
Ostapenko J.
Pegula J.
4662
Ostapenko J.
6321

Jessica Pegula defeated Jelena Ostapenko 4-6 6-3 6-2 in the Indian Wells round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Jessica Pegula came in ranked #3, defending last year's round of 16. Jessica Pegula extended the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

Head to head

22
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-10-02BeijingR16hardJelena Ostapenko6-4 6-2
2023-02-13DohaR16hardJessica Pegula6-2 2-6 7-5
2021-03-01DohaR16hardJessica Pegula6-2 7-5
2015-09-14Quebec CityR16hardJelena Ostapenko3-6 6-2 7-6

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
66%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
50%
42%
Service points won·Slight edge
62%
56%
Return points won·Even
46%
46%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
53%
Aces / match·Even
4.1
3.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.6
5.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (37 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
93
68
Break points saved·Dominant
86
25
Break points won·Even
99
100
Deciding sets·Slight edge
99
94
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
91
80

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
64
95

Pegula J.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 67 games (7d) · Ostapenko J.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast

Draw