Talia Gibson vs Jasmine Paolini — Indian Wells Round of 16
Indian Wells · WTA · Round of 16
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 4 March 2026 ·
hard
ITA7#15WTA
1905ELO
1873Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$16MCAREER
30 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWLW
Gibson T.7-5 2-6 6-1
Paolini J.
Gibson T.
7262
Paolini J.
5611
Talia Gibson defeated Jasmine Paolini 7-5 2-6 6-1 in the Indian Wells round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Jasmine Paolini came in ranked #15, defending last year's round of 16.
Key context
- Match story: Talia Gibson came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 7–5 2–6 6–1.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Even
62%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
49%
Service points won·Even
61%
57%
Return points won·Even
43%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
55%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.9
1.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.8
1.8
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (46 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressureClutch Rating·Even
74
77
Break points saved·Dominant
83
46
Break points won·Dominant
70
96
Deciding sets·Clear edge
83
95
Tiebreaks·Even
90
86
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadFreshness·
77
—
Gibson T.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 50 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast