Joao Fonseca vs Tommy Paul — Indian Wells Masters Round of 32
Indian Wells Masters · ATP · Round of 32
BRA#26ATP
1928ELO
1914Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$3.9MCAREER
19 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 4 March 2026 ·
hard
USA23#24ATP
1949ELO
1881Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWLLWWL
Fonseca J.6-2 6-3
Paul T.
Fonseca J.
662
Paul T.
230
Joao Fonseca defeated Tommy Paul 6-2 6-3 in the Indian Wells Masters round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Tommy Paul came in ranked #24, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 16. Joao Fonseca claimed a first win over Tommy Paul in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.
Key context
- Match story: Joao Fonseca dropped just 5 games past Tommy Paul.
Head to head
0–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-23 | Madrid Masters | R64 | clay | Tommy Paul | 7-6 7-6 |
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Slight edge
69%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
57%
57%
Service points won·Even
66%
68%
Return points won·Even
36%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
68%
62%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.7
7.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.4
1.7
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 36). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressureClutch Rating·Clear edge
66
90
Break points saved·Even
95
97
Break points won·Dominant
24
88
Deciding sets·Slight edge
90
98
Tiebreaks·Even
90
89
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadFreshness·Clear edge
83
64
Fonseca J.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d) · Paul T.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 60 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast