Mackenzie Mcdonald vs Matteo Arnaldi — Indian Wells Masters Round of 128
Indian Wells Masters · ATP · Round of 128
#144ATP
1606ELO
1604Hard ELO
$243kYTD
$7.2MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 4 March 2026 ·
hard
#34ATP
1830ELO
1732Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWLLWW
Mcdonald M.6-0 6-1
Arnaldi M.
Mcdonald M.
662
Arnaldi M.
010
Mackenzie Mcdonald defeated Matteo Arnaldi 6-0 6-1 in the Indian Wells Masters round of 128 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Matteo Arnaldi came in ranked #34, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 32. Mackenzie Mcdonald claimed a first win over Matteo Arnaldi in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.
Key context
- Match story: Mackenzie Mcdonald handed Matteo Arnaldi a first-set bagel in a 6–0 6–1 win.
Head to head
0–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08-05 | Canada Masters | R64 | hard | Matteo Arnaldi | 4-6 6-4 6-4 |
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
70%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
54%
49%
Service points won·Even
62%
62%
Return points won·Even
36%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
63%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.8
5.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.0
3.7
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressureClutch Rating·Dominant
29
54
Break points saved·Slight edge
87
95
Break points won·Dominant
73
22
Deciding sets·Dominant
7
58
Tiebreaks·Dominant
10
98
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadFreshness·Slight edge
88
94
Mcdonald M.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d) · Arnaldi M.: 9 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast