Pablo Carreno Busta vs Botic Van De Zandschulp — Dubai Q16

Dubai · ATP · Q16
Pablo Carreno Busta
ESP
Pablo Carreno Busta
#72ATP
1801ELO
1744Hard ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
35 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Saturday, 21 February 2026 ·
hard
Botic Van De Zandschulp
NED
Botic Van De Zandschulp
#59ATP
1743ELO
1711Hard ELO
$690kYTD
$6.6MCAREER
30 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLLWL
Carreno Busta P.
6-3 6-2
Van De Zandschulp B.
Carreno Busta P.
662
Van De Zandschulp B.
320

Pablo Carreno Busta defeated Botic Van De Zandschulp 6-3 6-2 in the Dubai q16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Botic Van De Zandschulp came in ranked #59, leading the head-to-head 2–1. Pablo Carreno Busta narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

Head to head

1–2
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-02-23DubaiQ1hardPablo Carreno Busta6-3 6-2
2024-10-02Shanghai MastersR128hardBotic Van De Zandschulp7-6 6-2
2022-05-02Madrid MastersR64clayBotic Van De Zandschulp6-7 7-6 6-3

Statistics

This season
Carreno Busta P.Van De Zandschulp B.
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
73%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
54%
46%
Service points won·Even
64%
63%
Return points won·Even
40%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
54%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.1
7.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.5
5.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (35 vs 24). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Carreno Busta P.Van De Zandschulp B.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
46
68
Break points saved·Even
93
93
Break points won·Slight edge
60
51
Deciding sets·Dominant
14
82
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
87
76

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Carreno Busta P.Van De Zandschulp B.
Freshness·Slight edge
85
75

Carreno Busta P.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d) · Van De Zandschulp B.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 43 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast

Draw