Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Juan Manuel CerundoloRosario CH Semi-final

Rosario CH · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
#76ATP
1759ELO
1741Clay ELO
$653kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 2 February 2026 ·
clay
#51ATP
1790ELO
1762Clay ELO
$779kYTD
$2.4MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLLWWW
Ugo Carabelli C.
7-5 6-1
Cerundolo J.
Ugo Carabelli C.
762
Cerundolo J.
510

Camilo Ugo Carabelli defeated Juan Manuel Cerundolo 7-5 6-1 in the Rosario CH semi-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Juan Manuel Cerundolo came in ranked #51, leading the head-to-head 3–2, defending last year's quarter-final. Camilo Ugo Carabelli narrowed the head-to-head to 3–3.

Key context

  • Match story: Camilo Ugo Carabelli came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 7–5 6–1.

Head to head

23
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-02-26SantiagoQ1clayJuan Manuel Cerundolo6-1 7-6
2024-02-24SantiagoQ16clayJuan Manuel Cerundolo6-1 7-6(4)
2020-02-19M25 Punta del Este 1R16clayCamilo Ugo Carabelli6-4 7-6(7)
2019-04-06M15 Pinamar 3QFclayJuan Manuel Cerundolo6-7(5) 6-4 4-3
2017-08-21Argentina F4R32clayCamilo Ugo Carabelli6-2 6-2

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
52%
Service points won·Even
61%
63%
Return points won·Even
38%
37%
Break points saved·Even
60%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.6
5.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.5
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
50
77
Break points saved·Even
81
80
Break points won·Dominant
41
71
Deciding sets·Even
93
96
Tiebreaks·Dominant
3
83

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
95
65

Ugo Carabelli C.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d) · Cerundolo J.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 75 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast

Draw