Aryna Sabalenka vs Anastasia PotapovaAustralian Open Round of 32

Australian Open · WTA · Round of 32
#1WTA
2220ELO
2201Hard ELO
$5.1MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 19 January 2026 ·
hard
#25WTA
1904ELO
1804Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$6.6MCAREER
25 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLLLWL
Sabalenka A.
7-6 7-6
Potapova A.
Sabalenka A.
772
Potapova A.
660

Aryna Sabalenka defeated Anastasia Potapova 7-6 7-6 in the Australian Open round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's final. Aryna Sabalenka extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-06RomeR64clayAryna Sabalenka6-2 6-2
2023-04-17StuttgartSFclayAryna Sabalenka6-1 6-2

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
72%
66%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
54%
44%
Service points won·Slight edge
65%
57%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Even
64%
61%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.6
3.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.8
4.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (39 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
100
64
Break points saved·Dominant
93
49
Break points won·Slight edge
99
90
Deciding sets·Even
97
94
Tiebreaks·Dominant
100
26

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
59
92

Sabalenka A.: played today · 4 matches, 76 games (7d) · Potapova A.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast

Draw