Jakub Mensik vs Pablo Carreno BustaAustralian Open Round of 128

Australian Open · ATP · Round of 128
#16ATP
1931ELO
1893Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$6.9MCAREER
20 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWL
3 — 2
Sets
Monday, 19 January 2026 ·
hard
#72ATP
1801ELO
1744Hard ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
35 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLWLWL
Mensik J.
7-5 4-6 2-6 7-6 6-3
Carreno Busta P.
Mensik J.
742763
Carreno Busta P.
566632

Jakub Mensik defeated Pablo Carreno Busta 7-5 4-6 2-6 7-6 6-3 in the Australian Open round of 128 on hard. The result followed the form book — Jakub Mensik came in ranked #16, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's round of 32. Jakub Mensik extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

  • Match story: Jakub Mensik closed it out in five sets, 7–5 4–6 2–6 7–6 6–3.

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-11-20Davis Cup Finals QF: ESP vs CZERRhardJakub Mensik7-5 6-4
2025-01-06AucklandR32hardJakub Mensik6-2 4-6 7-5

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
79%
69%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
48%
55%
Service points won·Even
67%
64%
Return points won·Even
36%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
54%
Aces / match·Dominant
10.8
3.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.2
1.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 35). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
85
46
Break points saved·Even
96
93
Break points won·Slight edge
71
60
Deciding sets·Dominant
90
14
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
99
87

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
67
85

Mensik J.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 52 games (7d) · Carreno Busta P.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Draw