Daria Kasatkina vs Maria Sakkari — Adelaide Round of 32

Adelaide · WTA · Round of 32
Daria Kasatkina
AUS
Daria Kasatkina
#68WTA
1795ELO
1757Hard ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 12 January 2026 ·
hard
Maria Sakkari
GRE
Maria Sakkari
#32WTA
1812ELO
1796Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$15MCAREER
31 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWWL
Kasatkina D.
7-6 6-4
Sakkari M.
Kasatkina D.
762
Sakkari M.
640

Daria Kasatkina defeated Maria Sakkari 7-6 6-4 in the Adelaide round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Maria Sakkari came in ranked #32, defending last year's round of 16. Daria Kasatkina extended the head-to-head to 4–1.

Key context

Head to head

3–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-06-13BerlinQFgrassMaria Sakkari6-0 6-3
2022-04-28MadridR32clayDaria Kasatkina3-6 6-3 6-1
2018-08-06MontrealR64hardDaria Kasatkina6-4 4-6 6-1
2018-05-28Roland GarrosR32clayDaria Kasatkina6-1 1-6 6-3

Statistics

This season
Kasatkina D.Sakkari M.
1st serve in·Slight edge
70%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
59%
65%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
39%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
53%
60%
Return points won·Slight edge
50%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
54%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.9
2.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
6.3
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Kasatkina D.Sakkari M.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
53
79
Break points saved·Dominant
21
78
Break points won·Slight edge
100
91
Deciding sets·Clear edge
91
75
Tiebreaks·Dominant
16
77

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Kasatkina D.Sakkari M.
Freshness·Clear edge
87
71

Kasatkina D.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 30 games (7d) · Sakkari M.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 51 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Draw