Lorenzo Musetti vs Andrey Rublev — Hong Kong Semi-final
Hong Kong · ATP · Semi-final
ITA1#15ATP
1869ELO
1804Hard ELO
$961kYTD
$15MCAREER
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWLWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 5 January 2026 ·
hard
RUS3#18ATP
1902ELO
1849Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$34MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWWWL
Musetti L.6-7 7-5 6-4
Rublev A.
Musetti L.
6762
Rublev A.
7541
Lorenzo Musetti defeated Andrey Rublev 6-7 7-5 6-4 in the Hong Kong semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Andrey Rublev came in leading the head-to-head 1–0. Lorenzo Musetti claimed a first win over Andrey Rublev in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.
Key context
- Match story: Lorenzo Musetti dropped the opening set before beating Andrey Rublev 6–7 7–5 6–4.
Head to head
0–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-02-24 | Dubai | R32 | hard | Andrey Rublev | 6-4 6-4 |
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Even
64%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
55%
53%
Service points won·Even
65%
66%
Return points won·Even
40%
38%
Break points saved·Even
65%
68%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.4
7.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.1
2.9
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (18 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressureClutch Rating·Slight edge
89
83
Break points saved·Even
94
98
Break points won·Clear edge
81
65
Deciding sets·Even
99
96
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
93
87
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadFreshness·Clear edge
70
82
Musetti L.: played today · 3 matches, 54 games (7d) · Rublev A.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 39 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast