Casper Ruud vs Alex De MinaurUnited Cup Round Robin

United Cup · ATP · Round Robin
#17ATP
1983ELO
1889Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLLLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 5 January 2026 ·
hard
#8ATP
1961ELO
1935Hard ELO
$2.4MYTD
$25MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWWLW
Ruud C.
6-3 6-3
De Minaur A.
Ruud C.
662
De Minaur A.
330

Casper Ruud defeated Alex De Minaur 6-3 6-3 in the United Cup round robin on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alex De Minaur came in ranked #8, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's round-robin. Casper Ruud claimed a first win over Alex De Minaur in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-02-26AcapulcoFhardAlex De Minaur6-4 6-4
2019-11-05NextGen FinalsRRhardAlex De Minaur4-1 4-0 4-2

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
56%
55%
Service points won·Even
66%
64%
Return points won·Slight edge
36%
41%
Break points saved·Even
69%
69%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.6
4.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.4
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 35). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
88
94
Break points saved·Even
99
98
Break points won·Clear edge
74
97
Deciding sets·Even
99
95
Tiebreaks·Even
95
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
92
66

Ruud C.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 15 games (7d) · De Minaur A.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 73 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Draw