Jessica Pegula vs Dayana YastremskaBrisbane Round of 16

Brisbane · WTA · Round of 16
#3WTA
2097ELO
2058Hard ELO
$3.5MYTD
$25MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWLWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Sunday, 4 January 2026 ·
hard
#107WTA
1792ELO
1733Hard ELO
$505kYTD
$6.5MCAREER
26 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLWLWW
Pegula J.
5-7 6-2 6-3
Yastremska D.
Pegula J.
5662
Yastremska D.
7231

Jessica Pegula defeated Dayana Yastremska 5-7 6-2 6-3 in the Brisbane round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Jessica Pegula came in ranked #3. Jessica Pegula claimed a first win over Dayana Yastremska in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-04-15BJK Cup QLS R1: USA vs UKRRRhardDayana Yastremska6-3 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
62%
55%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
49%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.3
2.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.5
4.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (37 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
93
39
Break points saved·Dominant
86
23
Break points won·Slight edge
99
93
Deciding sets·Dominant
99
19
Tiebreaks·Even
91
94

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
78
96

Pegula J.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d) · Yastremska D.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 15 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Draw