Daniil Medvedev vs Brandon NakashimaBrisbane Final

Brisbane · ATP · Final
#7ATP
1977ELO
1962Hard ELO
$2.5MYTD
$52MCAREER
30 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 4 January 2026 ·
hard
#22ATP
1839ELO
1788Hard ELO
$990kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
25 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWWWWLW
Medvedev D.
6-2 7-6
Nakashima B.
Medvedev D.
672
Nakashima B.
260

Daniil Medvedev defeated Brandon Nakashima 6-2 7-6 in the Brisbane final on hard. The result followed the form book — Daniil Medvedev came in ranked #7, leading the head-to-head 2–1. Daniil Medvedev extended the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Head to head

21
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-08-18CincinnatiR32hardBrandon Nakashima6-7(3) 7-6(4) 6-1
2025-04-23Madrid MastersR16clayDaniil Medvedev3-6 6-1 6-4
2023-03-06Indian Wells MastersR64hardDaniil Medvedev6-4 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
68%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
78%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
65%
70%
Return points won·Slight edge
42%
34%
Break points saved·Even
63%
59%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.8
11.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.9
0.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (37 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
96
36
Break points saved·Even
99
96
Break points won·Dominant
98
3
Deciding sets·Dominant
98
37
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
96
81

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
66
52

Medvedev D.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 55 games (7d) · Nakashima B.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 98 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Draw