Aryna Sabalenka vs Marta KostyukBrisbane Final

Brisbane · WTA · Final
#1WTA
2220ELO
2201Hard ELO
$5.1MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 4 January 2026 ·
hard
#11WTA
2057ELO
1968Hard ELO
$3.5MYTD
$10MCAREER
24 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
Sabalenka A.
6-4 6-3
Kostyuk M.
Sabalenka A.
662
Kostyuk M.
430

Aryna Sabalenka defeated Marta Kostyuk 6-4 6-3 in the Brisbane final on hard. The result followed the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 4–0. Aryna Sabalenka extended the head-to-head to 5–0.

Key context

Head to head

40
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-06RomeR16clayAryna Sabalenka6-1 7-6
2025-04-22MadridQFclayAryna Sabalenka7-6 7-6
2023-05-29Roland GarrosR128clayAryna Sabalenka6-3 6-2
2022-02-14DubaiR32hardAryna Sabalenka6-4 6-1

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
71%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
54%
48%
Service points won·Even
65%
61%
Return points won·Even
45%
48%
Break points saved·Even
64%
62%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.7
3.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.9
4.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (38 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
100
86
Break points saved·Clear edge
93
72
Break points won·Slight edge
99
94
Deciding sets·Even
97
96
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
100
80

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
79
70

Sabalenka A.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 55 games (7d) · Kostyuk M.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 64 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Draw