Marta Kostyuk vs Jessica PegulaBrisbane Semi-final

Brisbane · WTA · Semi-final
#11WTA
2057ELO
1968Hard ELO
$3.5MYTD
$10MCAREER
24 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWLWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 4 January 2026 ·
hard
#3WTA
2097ELO
2058Hard ELO
$3.5MYTD
$25MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWLWWWL
Kostyuk M.
6-0 6-3
Pegula J.
Kostyuk M.
662
Pegula J.
030

Marta Kostyuk defeated Jessica Pegula 6-0 6-3 in the Brisbane semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Jessica Pegula came in ranked #3, leading the head-to-head 4–2. Marta Kostyuk narrowed the head-to-head to 4–3.

Key context

Head to head

24
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-04-21MadridR32clayMarta Kostyuk6-1 6-4
2025-09-24BeijingR16hardJessica Pegula6-3 6-7 6-1
2025-03-18MiamiR16hardJessica Pegula6-2 6-3
2024-02-26San DiegoSFhardMarta Kostyuk7-6 6-1
2023-01-16Australian OpenR32hardJessica Pegula6-0 6-2
2022-08-15CincinnatiR32hardJessica Pegula6-7 6-1 6-2

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
50%
Service points won·Even
61%
63%
Return points won·Even
47%
46%
Break points saved·Even
61%
58%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.5
4.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.2
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 37). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
86
93
Break points saved·Clear edge
72
86
Break points won·Slight edge
94
99
Deciding sets·Even
95
99
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
80
91

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
66
78

Kostyuk M.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 55 games (7d) · Pegula J.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Draw