Grigor Dimitrov vs Pablo Carreno Busta — Brisbane Round of 32

Brisbane · ATP · Round of 32
Grigor Dimitrov
BUL
Grigor Dimitrov
#138ATP
1744ELO
1736Hard ELO
$329kYTD
$32MCAREER
35 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 4 January 2026 ·
hard
Pablo Carreno Busta
ESP
Pablo Carreno Busta
#72ATP
1801ELO
1744Hard ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
35 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLWLWL
Dimitrov G.
6-3 6-2
Carreno Busta P.
Dimitrov G.
662
Carreno Busta P.
320

Grigor Dimitrov defeated Pablo Carreno Busta 6-3 6-2 in the Brisbane round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Pablo Carreno Busta came in ranked #72. Grigor Dimitrov extended the head-to-head to 5–3.

Key context

Head to head

4–3
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2021-02-08Australian OpenR32hardGrigor Dimitrov6-0 1-0
2018-04-23BarcelonaQFclayPablo Carreno Busta6-3 7-6
2017-11-13Tour FinalsRRhardGrigor Dimitrov6-1 6-1
2017-05-29Roland GarrosR32clayPablo Carreno Busta7-5 6-3 6-4
2016-05-02Madrid MastersR64clayPablo Carreno Busta7-6 6-3
2015-11-02Paris MastersR64hardGrigor Dimitrov6-4 6-1
2014-05-04Madrid MastersR64clayGrigor Dimitrov6-2 6-4

Statistics

This season
Dimitrov G.Carreno Busta P.
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
74%
69%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
48%
55%
Service points won·Even
64%
64%
Return points won·Slight edge
34%
40%
Break points saved·Even
50%
54%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.4
3.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.3
1.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 35). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Dimitrov G.Carreno Busta P.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
86
46
Break points saved·Slight edge
98
93
Break points won·Even
64
60
Deciding sets·Dominant
97
14
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
96
87

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Dimitrov G.Carreno Busta P.
Freshness·Even
89
85

Dimitrov G.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 26 games (7d) · Carreno Busta P.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Draw