Mackenzie Mcdonald vs Shintaro MochizukiAthens Qualifying Round 2

Athens · ATP · Qualifying Round 2
#144ATP
1606ELO
1604Hard ELO
$243kYTD
$7.2MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Sunday, 2 November 2025 ·
hard
#112ATP
1475ELO
1425Hard ELO
$243kYTD
$1.6MCAREER
23 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWLWWW
Mcdonald M.
4-6 6-2 6-2
Mochizuki S.
Mcdonald M.
4662
Mochizuki S.
6221

Mackenzie Mcdonald defeated Shintaro Mochizuki 4-6 6-2 6-2 in the Athens qualifying round 2 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Shintaro Mochizuki came in ranked #112. Mackenzie Mcdonald extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-06-16Challenger Men - Singles: Nottingham (United Kingdom), GrassR16grassShintaro Mochizuki5-7
2022-09-26SeoulR16hardMackenzie Mcdonald6-3 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
65%
53%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
48%
Service points won·Even
63%
59%
Return points won·Even
37%
41%
Break points saved·Even
61%
58%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.4
3.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.2
3.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (92 vs 89). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
29
25
Break points saved·Dominant
87
60
Break points won·Slight edge
73
68
Deciding sets·Even
7
5
Tiebreaks·Dominant
10
57

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
78
71

Mcdonald M.: played today · 1 match, 22 games (7d) · Mochizuki S.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 31 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Draw