Flavio Cobolli vs Tomas MachacParis Masters Round of 64

Paris Masters · ATP · Round of 64
#10ATP
1896ELO
1810Hard ELO
$3.2MYTD
$8.4MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLLLWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 27 October 2025 ·
hard
#62ATP
1866ELO
1829Hard ELO
$832kYTD
$6.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLWWLW
Cobolli F.
6-1 6-4
Machac T.
Cobolli F.
662
Machac T.
140

Flavio Cobolli defeated Tomas Machac 6-1 6-4 in the Paris Masters round of 64 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Tomas Machac came in leading the head-to-head 3–1, defending last year's round of 64. Flavio Cobolli narrowed the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

Head to head

13
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-20ViennaR32hardFlavio Cobolli7-6 6-2
2025-01-03United CupQFhardTomas Machac6-1 6-2
2024-12-27United CupQFhardTomas Machac6-1 6-2
2022-08-26US OpenQ32hardTomas Machac7-6(7) 5-7 6-1

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
53%
Service points won·Even
62%
64%
Return points won·Even
37%
36%
Break points saved·Even
62%
60%
Aces / match·Even
5.5
6.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.2
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (107 vs 62). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
75
92
Break points saved·Even
95
95
Break points won·Dominant
38
92
Deciding sets·Slight edge
99
93
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
90
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
67
94

Cobolli F.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 60 games (7d) · Machac T.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast

Draw