Jacob Fearnley vs Matteo Arnaldi — Paris Masters Qualifying Round 1
Paris Masters · ATP · Qualifying Round 1
#107ATP
1600ELO
1565Hard ELO
$342kYTD
$1.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 27 October 2025 ·
hard
ITA13#34ATP
1830ELO
1732Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWLLWW
Fearnley J.7-5 6-2
Arnaldi M.
Fearnley J.
762
Arnaldi M.
520
Jacob Fearnley defeated Matteo Arnaldi 7-5 6-2 in the Paris Masters qualifying round 1 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Matteo Arnaldi came in ranked #34, defending last year's round of 64, but Jacob Fearnley had been the form player, winning 2 of their last 4 on hard.
Key context
- Match story: Jacob Fearnley closed it out in two sets, 7–5 6–2.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Even
61%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
50%
Service points won·Even
61%
62%
Return points won·Even
37%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
64%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.2
6.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.7
3.4
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (67 vs 71). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressureClutch Rating·Dominant
85
54
Break points saved·Even
96
95
Break points won·Dominant
70
22
Deciding sets·Dominant
99
58
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
83
98
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadFreshness·Slight edge
87
77
Fearnley J.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 26 games (7d) · Arnaldi M.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 30 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast