Misaki Matsuda defeated Rina Saigo 6-1 6-1 in the W35 Qian Daohu quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Rina Saigo came in ranked #274, leading the head-to-head 2–1. Misaki Matsuda narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-24 | W35 Qian Daohu 1 | QF | hard | Misaki Matsuda | 6-1 6-1 |
| 2025-08-27 | W35 Nakhon Pathom 2 | R32 | hard | Rina Saigo | 4-6 6-1 6-4 |
| 2025-06-21 | W35 Taipei 1 | SF | hard | Rina Saigo | 7-6(3) 6-2 |
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (102 vs 153). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About