Reilly Opelka vs Sebastian Baez — Basel Round of 32

Basel · ATP · Round of 32
Reilly Opelka
USA
Reilly Opelka
#142ATP
1749ELO
1734Hard ELO
$426kYTD
$6.2MCAREER
28 yrs · 211 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 20 October 2025 ·
hard
Sebastian Baez
ARG
Sebastian Baez
#53ATP
1759ELO
1709Hard ELO
$924kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLWW
Opelka R.
6-3 6-4
Baez S.
Opelka R.
662
Baez S.
340

Reilly Opelka defeated Sebastian Baez 6-3 6-4 in the Basel round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Sebastian Baez came in ranked #53, defending last year's round of 32.

Key context

  • Match story: Reilly Opelka closed it out in two sets, 6–3 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Opelka R.Baez S.
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
72%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
79%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
69%
59%
Return points won·Clear edge
28%
40%
Break points saved·Clear edge
73%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
17.1
1.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.2
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (67 vs 81). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Opelka R.Baez S.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
59
73
Break points saved·Clear edge
100
86
Break points won·Dominant
0
77
Deciding sets·Even
88
90
Tiebreaks·Dominant
88
53

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Opelka R.Baez S.
Freshness·
—
78

Baez S.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 48 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Draw