Pablo Carreno Busta vs Alejandro TabiloOlbia CH Quarter-final

Olbia CH · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#72ATP
1801ELO
1744Hard ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
35 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 13 October 2025 ·
hard
#29ATP
1819ELO
1750Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
29 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWLLL
Carreno Busta P.
6-3 1-6 7-6
Tabilo A.
Carreno Busta P.
6172
Tabilo A.
3661

Pablo Carreno Busta defeated Alejandro Tabilo 6-3 1-6 7-6 in the Olbia CH quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alejandro Tabilo came in ranked #29. Pablo Carreno Busta extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-01-03Atp CupRRhardPablo Carreno Busta6-4 7-6

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
52%
Service points won·Even
64%
65%
Return points won·Even
40%
36%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
66%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.3
6.4
Double faults / match·Even
1.6
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (91 vs 93). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
46
37
Break points saved·Even
93
93
Break points won·Dominant
60
22
Deciding sets·Dominant
14
65
Tiebreaks·Dominant
87
8

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
88
87

Carreno Busta P.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d) · Tabilo A.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 34 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast

Draw