Jasmine Paolini vs Belinda BencicNingbo Quarter-final

Ningbo · WTA · Quarter-final
#15WTA
1905ELO
1873Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$16MCAREER
30 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 13 October 2025 ·
hard
#12WTA
1989ELO
1952Hard ELO
$2.2MYTD
$17MCAREER
29 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWWW
Paolini J.
5-7 7-5 6-3
Bencic B.
Paolini J.
5762
Bencic B.
7531

Jasmine Paolini defeated Belinda Bencic 5-7 7-5 6-3 in the Ningbo quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Belinda Bencic came in ranked #12, leading the head-to-head 2–1. Jasmine Paolini narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-05United CupRRhardBelinda Bencic6-4 6-3
2024-12-27United CupRRhardJasmine Paolini6-1 6-1
2022-11-09BJK Cup Finals RR: SUI vs ITARRhardBelinda Bencic7-5 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
61%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
48%
Service points won·Even
57%
60%
Return points won·Even
44%
45%
Break points saved·Even
56%
59%
Aces / match·Even
1.4
1.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.6
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (94 vs 85). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
77
90
Break points saved·Dominant
46
84
Break points won·Even
96
96
Deciding sets·Even
95
96
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
86
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
88

Bencic B.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 9 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast

Draw