Mackenzie Mcdonald vs Pavel Kotov — Jinan CH Round of 16

Jinan CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
Mackenzie Mcdonald
USA6
Mackenzie Mcdonald
#144ATP
1606ELO
1604Hard ELO
$243kYTD
$7.2MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLLWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 6 October 2025 ·
hard
Pavel Kotov
RUS
Pavel Kotov
#249ATP
1597ELO
1601Hard ELO
27 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLWLLW
Mcdonald M.
7-5 6-2
Kotov P.
Mcdonald M.
762
Kotov P.
520

Mackenzie Mcdonald defeated Pavel Kotov 7-5 6-2 in the Jinan CH round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Mackenzie Mcdonald came in ranked #144, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Mackenzie Mcdonald extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

1–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-03-19Miami MastersQ2hardMackenzie Mcdonald6-2 6-2

Statistics

This season
Mcdonald M.Kotov P.
1st serve in·Even
65%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
50%
Service points won·Even
63%
66%
Return points won·Even
37%
36%
Break points saved·Even
61%
64%
Aces / match·Even
5.4
6.0
Double faults / match·Even
2.2
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (91 vs 48). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Mcdonald M.Kotov P.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
29
51
Break points saved·Even
87
90
Break points won·Dominant
73
25
Deciding sets·Dominant
7
89
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
10
28

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Mcdonald M.Kotov P.
Freshness·Slight edge
89
100

Mcdonald M.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 32 games (7d) · Kotov P.: 20 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Draw