Holger Rune vs Sebastian BaezShanghai Masters Round of 64

Shanghai Masters · ATP · Round of 64
#102ATP
1757ELO
1725Hard ELO
$0YTD
$16MCAREER
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 1 October 2025 ·
hard
#53ATP
1759ELO
1709Hard ELO
$924kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLWW
Rune H.
7-5 6-4
Baez S.
Rune H.
762
Baez S.
540

Holger Rune defeated Sebastian Baez 7-5 6-4 in the Shanghai Masters round of 64 on hard. The result followed the form book — Holger Rune came in leading the head-to-head 3–2, defending last year's round of 16. Holger Rune extended the head-to-head to 4–2.

Key context

Head to head

32
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-04-14BarcelonaR16clayHolger Rune4-6 6-1 6-2
2024-05-06Rome MastersR32claySebastian Baez2-6 6-2 6-3
2023-10-23BaselR16hardHolger Rune7-6 6-1
2022-02-07Buenos AiresR32claySebastian Baez7-6 6-3
2021-03-08SantiagoR32clayHolger Rune6-3 6-2

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
72%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
66%
60%
Return points won·Even
37%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.5
1.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.9
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (55 vs 81). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
92
73
Break points saved·Clear edge
98
86
Break points won·Slight edge
87
77
Deciding sets·Slight edge
95
90
Tiebreaks·Dominant
98
52

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
83

Baez S.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 48 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Draw