Daniel Altmaier vs Denis ShapovalovTokyo Round of 32

Tokyo · ATP · Round of 32
#65ATP
1734ELO
1652Hard ELO
$750kYTD
$5.6MCAREER
27 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWLWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 24 September 2025 ·
hard
#48ATP
1771ELO
1775Hard ELO
$749kYTD
$15MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWWLL
Altmaier D.
7-5 6-3
Shapovalov D.
Altmaier D.
762
Shapovalov D.
530

Daniel Altmaier defeated Denis Shapovalov 7-5 6-3 in the Tokyo round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Denis Shapovalov came in ranked #48, leading the head-to-head 1–0, but Daniel Altmaier had been the form player, winning 2 of their last 4 on hard. Daniel Altmaier claimed a first win over Denis Shapovalov in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-07-01WimbledonR64grassDenis Shapovalov7-6 6-3 1-6 6-7 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
51%
Service points won·Even
63%
63%
Return points won·Even
35%
38%
Break points saved·Even
61%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
7.1
7.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.5
5.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (100 vs 70). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
49
79
Break points saved·Slight edge
92
97
Break points won·Dominant
15
70
Deciding sets·Clear edge
71
91
Tiebreaks·Even
69
71

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
84
83

Altmaier D.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d) · Shapovalov D.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 51 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Draw