Carlos Alcaraz vs Casper RuudTokyo Semi-final

Tokyo · ATP · Semi-final
#2ATP
2162ELO
2088Hard ELO
$4.4MYTD
$65MCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 24 September 2025 ·
hard
#17ATP
1983ELO
1889Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLLLWW
Alcaraz C.
3-6 6-3 6-4
Ruud C.
Alcaraz C.
3662
Ruud C.
6341

Carlos Alcaraz defeated Casper Ruud 3-6 6-3 6-4 in the Tokyo semi-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Carlos Alcaraz came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 5–1. Carlos Alcaraz extended the head-to-head to 6–1.

Key context

Head to head

51
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-04Indian Wells MastersR16hardCarlos Alcaraz6-1 7-6
2024-11-11Tour FinalsRRhardCasper Ruud6-1 7-5
2023-09-27BeijingQFhardCarlos Alcaraz6-4 6-2
2022-08-29US OpenFhardCarlos Alcaraz6-4 2-6 7-6 6-3
2022-03-21Miami MastersFhardCarlos Alcaraz7-5 6-4
2021-04-05MarbellaQFclayCarlos Alcaraz6-2 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
57%
54%
Service points won·Even
68%
66%
Return points won·Slight edge
42%
37%
Break points saved·Even
67%
67%
Aces / match·Even
5.8
6.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.7
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (108 vs 81). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
98
88
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Clear edge
98
74
Deciding sets·Even
100
99
Tiebreaks·Even
99
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
92

Ruud C.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 15 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Draw