Carlos Alcaraz vs Sebastian Baez — Tokyo Round of 32
Tokyo · ATP · Round of 32
ESP1#2ATP
2162ELO
2088Hard ELO
$4.4MYTD
$65MCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 24 September 2025 ·
hard
#53ATP
1759ELO
1709Hard ELO
$924kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLWW
Alcaraz C.6-4 6-2
Baez S.
Alcaraz C.
662
Baez S.
420
Carlos Alcaraz defeated Sebastian Baez 6-4 6-2 in the Tokyo round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Carlos Alcaraz came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 3–0. Carlos Alcaraz extended the head-to-head to 4–0.
Key context
- Match story: Carlos Alcaraz dropped just 6 games past Sebastian Baez.
Head to head
3–0| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | Monte Carlo Masters | R32 | clay | Carlos Alcaraz | 6-1 6-3 |
| 2022-08-29 | US Open | R128 | hard | Carlos Alcaraz | 7-5 7-5 2-0 |
| 2021-11-08 | NextGen Finals | SF | hard | Carlos Alcaraz | 4-2 4-1 4-2 |
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
72%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
74%
63%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
57%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
68%
59%
Return points won·Even
42%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
67%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.9
1.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.7
1.9
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (108 vs 81). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressureClutch Rating·Dominant
98
73
Break points saved·Clear edge
100
86
Break points won·Clear edge
98
77
Deciding sets·Slight edge
100
90
Tiebreaks·Dominant
99
53
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadFreshness·
—
78
Baez S.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 48 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast