Holger Rune vs Pablo Carreno Busta — DEN vs ESP Round Robin
DEN vs ESP · ATP · Round Robin
DEN#102ATP
1757ELO
1729Clay ELO
$0YTD
$16MCAREER
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Saturday, 13 September 2025 ·
clay
#72ATP
1801ELO
1767Clay ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
35 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLWLWL
Rune H.7-5 6-3
Carreno Busta P.
Rune H.
762
Carreno Busta P.
530
Holger Rune defeated Pablo Carreno Busta 7-5 6-3 in the DEN vs ESP round robin on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Pablo Carreno Busta came in ranked #72, leading the head-to-head 3–1. Holger Rune narrowed the head-to-head to 3–2.
Key context
- Match story: Holger Rune closed it out in two sets, 7–5 6–3.
Head to head
1–3| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08-05 | Canada Masters | R32 | hard | Holger Rune | 6-1 6-3 |
| 2022-08-08 | Canada Masters | R32 | hard | Pablo Carreno Busta | 6-0 6-3 |
| 2022-06-13 | Halle | R32 | grass | Pablo Carreno Busta | 6-3 7-6 |
| 2021-09-20 | Metz | QF | hard | Pablo Carreno Busta | 6-4 3-6 6-4 |
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Even
62%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
53%
Service points won·Even
65%
64%
Return points won·Even
37%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
59%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.5
3.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.9
1.6
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (56 vs 92). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressureClutch Rating·Dominant
92
46
Break points saved·Slight edge
98
93
Break points won·Dominant
87
60
Deciding sets·Dominant
95
14
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
98
87
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadFreshness·
—
88
Carreno Busta P.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About