Karolina Muchova vs Marta KostyukUS Open Round of 16

US Open · WTA · Round of 16
#7WTA
2066ELO
2034Hard ELO
$4.5MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 25 August 2025 ·
hard
#11WTA
2057ELO
1968Hard ELO
$3.5MYTD
$10MCAREER
24 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWWLWWW
Muchova K.
6-3 6-7 6-3
Kostyuk M.
Muchova K.
6662
Kostyuk M.
3731

Karolina Muchova defeated Marta Kostyuk 6-3 6-7 6-3 in the US Open round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Karolina Muchova came in ranked #7, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's semi-final. Karolina Muchova extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-06WuhanR64hardKarolina Muchova2-6 6-2 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
46%
Service points won·Even
62%
59%
Return points won·Even
42%
46%
Break points saved·Even
61%
62%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.0
3.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.9
5.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (83 vs 74). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
92
86
Break points saved·Clear edge
91
72
Break points won·Slight edge
88
94
Deciding sets·Even
97
96
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
99
80

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
57

Kostyuk M.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 79 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast

Draw