Iga Swiatek vs Jasmine PaoliniCincinnati Final

Cincinnati · WTA · Final
#5WTA
2064ELO
2022Hard ELO
$2.2MYTD
$46MCAREER
25 yrs · 176 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 7 August 2025 ·
hard
#15WTA
1905ELO
1873Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$16MCAREER
30 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWLW
Swiatek I.
7-5 6-4
Paolini J.
Swiatek I.
762
Paolini J.
540

Iga Swiatek defeated Jasmine Paolini 7-5 6-4 in the Cincinnati final on hard. The result followed the form book — Iga Swiatek came in ranked #5, leading the head-to-head 4–1, defending last year's semi-final. Iga Swiatek extended the head-to-head to 5–1.

Key context

Head to head

41
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-06WuhanQFhardJasmine Paolini6-1 6-2
2025-06-22Bad HomburgSFgrassIga Swiatek6-1 6-3
2024-11-13BJK Cup FinalsSFhardIga Swiatek3-6 6-4 6-4
2024-05-27Roland GarrosFclayIga Swiatek6-2 6-1
2022-08-29US OpenR128hardIga Swiatek6-3 6-0

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
49%
Service points won·Even
61%
57%
Return points won·Even
47%
44%
Break points saved·Even
57%
57%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.9
1.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.0
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (119 vs 94). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
97
77
Break points saved·Dominant
87
46
Break points won·Even
100
96
Deciding sets·Even
96
95
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
97
86

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
63

Swiatek I.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 81 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Draw