Reilly Opelka vs Alex De MinaurCincinnati Masters Round of 64

Cincinnati Masters · ATP · Round of 64
#142ATP
1749ELO
1734Hard ELO
$426kYTD
$6.2MCAREER
28 yrs · 211 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 7 August 2025 ·
hard
#8ATP
1961ELO
1935Hard ELO
$2.4MYTD
$25MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWWLW
Opelka R.
7-6 6-4
De Minaur A.
Opelka R.
762
De Minaur A.
640

Reilly Opelka defeated Alex De Minaur 7-6 6-4 in the Cincinnati Masters round of 64 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alex De Minaur came in ranked #8, leading the head-to-head 5–0. Reilly Opelka claimed a first win over Alex De Minaur in six meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 5–1.

Key context

Head to head

05
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-06-13Queen's ClubR32grassAlex De Minaur6-4 6-4
2019-10-21BaselSFhardAlex De Minaur7-6 6-7 7-6
2019-08-12Cincinnati MastersR32hardAlex De Minaur7-6 6-4
2019-07-22AtlantaSFhardAlex De Minaur7-6 6-7 6-3
2019-01-07SydneyR16hardAlex De Minaur6-4 7-6

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
56%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
79%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
56%
Service points won·Even
69%
66%
Return points won·Clear edge
28%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
72%
65%
Aces / match·Dominant
17.1
4.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.2
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (67 vs 117). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
59
94
Break points saved·Even
100
98
Break points won·Dominant
0
97
Deciding sets·Slight edge
88
95
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
88
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
66

De Minaur A.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 73 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast

Draw