Jasmine Paolini vs Coco GauffCincinnati Quarter-final

Cincinnati · WTA · Quarter-final
#15WTA
1905ELO
1873Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$16MCAREER
30 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Thursday, 7 August 2025 ·
hard
#4WTA
2071ELO
2035Hard ELO
$4.1MYTD
$34MCAREER
22 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWWWLWW
Paolini J.
2-6 6-4 6-3
Gauff C.
Paolini J.
2662
Gauff C.
6431

Jasmine Paolini defeated Coco Gauff 2-6 6-4 6-3 in the Cincinnati quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Coco Gauff came in ranked #4, leading the head-to-head 5–2, defending last year's round of 32. Jasmine Paolini narrowed the head-to-head to 5–3.

Key context

Head to head

25
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-11-04WTA FinalsRRhardCoco Gauff6-3 6-2
2025-11-01Riyadh FinalsRRhardCoco Gauff6-3 6-2
2025-10-06WuhanSFhardCoco Gauff6-4 6-3
2025-05-06RomeFclayJasmine Paolini6-4 6-2
2025-04-14StuttgartQFclayJasmine Paolini6-4 6-3
2023-08-14CincinnatiQFhardCoco Gauff6-3 6-2
2021-02-22AdelaideR32hardCoco Gauff6-4 6-7 6-2

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
61%
68%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
43%
Service points won·Even
57%
58%
Return points won·Even
44%
48%
Break points saved·Even
57%
53%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.4
2.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.6
6.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (94 vs 104). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
77
94
Break points saved·Dominant
46
81
Break points won·Even
96
100
Deciding sets·Even
95
99
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
86
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
64

Gauff C.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 73 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Draw