Lucia Bronzetti vs Jelena OstapenkoCincinnati Round of 32

Cincinnati · WTA · Round of 32
#116WTA
1622ELO
1551Hard ELO
27 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Thursday, 7 August 2025 ·
hard
#30WTA
1855ELO
1794Hard ELO
$1.5MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 177 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLWWWL
Bronzetti L.
1-6 6-3 6-4
Ostapenko J.
Bronzetti L.
1662
Ostapenko J.
6341

Lucia Bronzetti defeated Jelena Ostapenko 1-6 6-3 6-4 in the Cincinnati round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Jelena Ostapenko came in ranked #30, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 32. Lucia Bronzetti claimed a first win over Jelena Ostapenko in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-05-23Roland GarrosR128clayJelena Ostapenko6-1 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
57%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
61%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
42%
Service points won·Even
55%
56%
Return points won·Even
44%
45%
Break points saved·Even
53%
52%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.0
3.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.7
5.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (107 vs 69). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
18
68
Break points saved·Slight edge
17
25
Break points won·Dominant
73
100
Deciding sets·Dominant
25
94
Tiebreaks·Dominant
20
80

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
100
95

Bronzetti L.: 20 days rest · Ostapenko J.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Draw