Gabriel Diallo vs Sebastian BaezCincinnati Masters Round of 64

Cincinnati Masters · ATP · Round of 64
#105ATP
1716ELO
1678Hard ELO
$530kYTD
$3.2MCAREER
24 yrs · 203 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLWWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 7 August 2025 ·
hard
#53ATP
1759ELO
1709Hard ELO
$924kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLWW
Diallo G.
7-5 6-4
Baez S.
Diallo G.
762
Baez S.
540

Gabriel Diallo defeated Sebastian Baez 7-5 6-4 in the Cincinnati Masters round of 64 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Sebastian Baez came in ranked #53, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 32. Gabriel Diallo claimed a first win over Sebastian Baez in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-03-31BucharestR16claySebastian Baez7-6 2-6 6-2

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
68%
72%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
66%
59%
Return points won·Slight edge
34%
40%
Break points saved·Even
60%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.4
1.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.5
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (77 vs 81). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
44
73
Break points saved·Even
90
86
Break points won·Dominant
22
77
Deciding sets·Clear edge
77
90
Tiebreaks·Dominant
21
52

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
100
83

Diallo G.: 15 days rest · Baez S.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 48 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast

Draw