Alexei Popyrin vs Daniil MedvedevCanada Masters Round of 32

Canada Masters · ATP · Round of 32
#128ATP
1741ELO
1681Hard ELO
$573kYTD
$9.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWWWLLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Sunday, 27 July 2025 ·
hard
#7ATP
1977ELO
1962Hard ELO
$2.5MYTD
$52MCAREER
30 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWLWWL
Popyrin A.
5-7 6-4 6-4
Medvedev D.
Popyrin A.
5662
Medvedev D.
7441

Alexei Popyrin defeated Daniil Medvedev 5-7 6-4 6-4 in the Canada Masters round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Daniil Medvedev came in ranked #7, leading the head-to-head 4–1, defending last year's round of 32. Alexei Popyrin narrowed the head-to-head to 4–2.

Key context

Head to head

14
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-07Rome MastersR32clayDaniil Medvedev6-4 6-1
2024-10-28Paris MastersR32hardAlexei Popyrin6-4 2-6 7-6
2021-03-22Miami MastersR32hardDaniil Medvedev7-6 6-7 6-4
2020-01-20Australian OpenR32hardDaniil Medvedev6-4 6-3 6-2
2019-07-01WimbledonR64grassDaniil Medvedev6-7 6-1 6-4 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
49%
Service points won·Even
65%
66%
Return points won·Slight edge
33%
41%
Break points saved·Even
62%
61%
Aces / match·Slight edge
9.7
8.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.8
4.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (64 vs 108). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
49
96
Break points saved·Even
97
99
Break points won·Dominant
1
98
Deciding sets·Dominant
68
98
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
88
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
78
66

Popyrin A.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 43 games (7d) · Medvedev D.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 55 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast

Draw