Madison Keys vs Karolina Muchova — Montreal Round of 16
Montreal · WTA · Round of 16
USA6#24WTA
1987ELO
1920Hard ELO
$1.5MYTD
$25MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWLLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Sunday, 27 July 2025 ·
hard
CZE11#7WTA
2066ELO
2034Hard ELO
$4.5MYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
Keys M.4-6 6-3 7-5
Muchova K.
Keys M.
4672
Muchova K.
6351
Madison Keys defeated Karolina Muchova 4-6 6-3 7-5 in the Montreal round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Karolina Muchova came in ranked #7. Madison Keys extended the head-to-head to 3–0.
Key context
- Match story: Madison Keys dropped the opening set before beating Karolina Muchova 4–6 6–3 7–5.
Head to head
2–0| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-18 | Berlin | R16 | grass | Madison Keys | 6-4 7-5 |
| 2019-09-30 | Beijing | R64 | hard | Madison Keys | 6-4 7-6 |
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Even
65%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
50%
Service points won·Even
60%
62%
Return points won·Even
44%
42%
Break points saved·Even
60%
62%
Aces / match·Even
4.2
4.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.6
1.9
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (81 vs 83). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressureClutch Rating·Even
89
92
Break points saved·Slight edge
85
91
Break points won·Even
92
88
Deciding sets·Even
94
97
Tiebreaks·Even
96
99
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadFreshness·
66
—
Keys M.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 67 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast