Jesper De Jong vs Camilo Ugo CarabelliBastad Semi-final

Bastad · ATP · Semi-final
#106ATP
1711ELO
1696Clay ELO
$612kYTD
$2.3MCAREER
26 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLLLWLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 14 July 2025 ·
clay
#76ATP
1759ELO
1741Clay ELO
$653kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLLLWWLLW
De Jong J.
6-3 7-6
Ugo Carabelli C.
De Jong J.
672
Ugo Carabelli C.
360

Jesper De Jong defeated Camilo Ugo Carabelli 6-3 7-6 in the Bastad semi-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Camilo Ugo Carabelli came in ranked #76, defending last year's round of 32. Jesper De Jong extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-01-15Australian OpenQ3hardJesper De Jong7-6 3-6 7-6
2024-01-12Australian OpenQ32hardJesper De Jong7-6(3) 3-6 7-6(7)

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
58%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
49%
Service points won·Even
64%
61%
Return points won·Even
38%
38%
Break points saved·Even
58%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.3
3.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.5
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (91 vs 87). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
36
50
Break points saved·Even
80
81
Break points won·Clear edge
19
41
Deciding sets·Dominant
61
93
Tiebreaks·Dominant
41
3

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
85
82

De Jong J.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 38 games (7d) · Ugo Carabelli C.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 40 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast

Draw