Alexander Bublik vs Jannik SinnerHalle Round of 16

Halle · ATP · Round of 16
#13ATP
1889ELO
1802Grass ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 16 June 2025 ·
grass
#1ATP
2320ELO
2088Grass ELO
$6.9MYTD
$65MCAREER
25 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWWLW
Bublik A.
3-6 6-3 6-4
Sinner J.
Bublik A.
3662
Sinner J.
6341

Alexander Bublik defeated Jannik Sinner 3-6 6-3 6-4 in the Halle round of 16 on grass. The upset overturned the form book — Jannik Sinner came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 6–1, defending the title. Alexander Bublik narrowed the head-to-head to 6–2.

Key context

Head to head

16
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-20ViennaQFhardJannik Sinner6-4 6-4
2025-08-25US OpenR16hardJannik Sinner6-1 6-1 6-1
2025-05-26Roland GarrosQFclayJannik Sinner6-1 7-5 6-0
2023-06-19HalleQFgrassAlexander Bublik7-5 2-0
2023-06-12s HertogenboschR16grassJannik Sinner6-4 6-2
2021-03-22Miami MastersQFhardJannik Sinner7-6 6-4
2021-03-15DubaiR32hardJannik Sinner2-6 7-6 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
78%
80%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
59%
Service points won·Slight edge
67%
72%
Return points won·Slight edge
35%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
67%
72%
Aces / match·Dominant
11.5
8.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.4
1.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (109 vs 103). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
81
99
Break points saved·Even
98
100
Break points won·Dominant
54
99
Deciding sets·Even
97
100
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
91
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Draw