

Elena Rybakina defeated Jelena Ostapenko 6-2 6-2 in the Roland Garros round of 32 on clay. The result followed the form book — Elena Rybakina came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 3–2, defending last year's quarter-final. Elena Rybakina extended the head-to-head to 4–2.
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-08-14 | Cincinnati | R32 | hard | Elena Rybakina | 6-7 6-2 6-4 |
| 2023-05-08 | Rome | SF | clay | Elena Rybakina | 6-2 6-4 |
| 2023-01-16 | Australian Open | QF | hard | Elena Rybakina | 6-2 6-4 |
| 2021-06-21 | Eastbourne | SF | grass | Jelena Ostapenko | 6-4 6-1 |
| 2019-10-07 | Linz | QF | hard | Jelena Ostapenko | 7-5 6-1 |
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (119 vs 69). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Rybakina E.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 67 games (7d) · Ostapenko J.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About