Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Sebastian Baez — Hamburg Round of 32
Hamburg · ATP · Round of 32
#76ATP
1759ELO
1741Clay ELO
$653kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLLLWWLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Sunday, 18 May 2025 ·
clay
ARG8#53ATP
1759ELO
1718Clay ELO
$924kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLWW
Ugo Carabelli C.6-3 2-6 6-4
Baez S.
Ugo Carabelli C.
6262
Baez S.
3641
Camilo Ugo Carabelli defeated Sebastian Baez 6-3 2-6 6-4 in the Hamburg round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Sebastian Baez came in ranked #53, leading the head-to-head 5–2, defending last year's semi-final. Camilo Ugo Carabelli narrowed the head-to-head to 5–3.
Key context
- Match story: Camilo Ugo Carabelli closed it out in three sets, 6–3 2–6 6–4.
Head to head
2–5| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-09 | Buenos Aires | QF | clay | Sebastian Baez | 7-6 6-2 |
| 2025-02-24 | Santiago | SF | clay | Sebastian Baez | 6-1 3-6 6-2 |
| 2025-02-10 | Buenos Aires | R32 | clay | Sebastian Baez | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2020-09-25 | M25 Jablonec Nad Nisou 1 | QF | clay | Sebastian Baez | 6-1 6-7(2) 6-3 |
| 2016-10-31 | Argentina F12 | R32 | clay | Sebastian Baez | 3-6 6-3 6-3 |
| 2016-05-30 | Argentina F9 | Q64 | clay | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 6-4 6-2 |
| 2016-05-23 | Argentina F8 | R32 | clay | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 6-3 6-1 |
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
72%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
50%
Service points won·Even
61%
60%
Return points won·Even
38%
39%
Break points saved·Even
59%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.3
1.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.5
1.9
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (87 vs 81). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressureClutch Rating·Clear edge
50
73
Break points saved·Slight edge
81
86
Break points won·Dominant
41
77
Deciding sets·Even
93
90
Tiebreaks·Dominant
3
52
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadFreshness·Even
82
83
Ugo Carabelli C.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 40 games (7d) · Baez S.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 48 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast