Peyton Stearns vs Naomi OsakaRome Round of 16

Rome · WTA · Round of 16
#53WTA
1804ELO
1756Clay ELO
$476kYTD
$3.7MCAREER
24 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWLLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 6 May 2025 ·
clay
#13WTA
1987ELO
1886Clay ELO
$1.8MYTD
$26MCAREER
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
Stearns P.
6-4 3-6 7-6
Osaka N.
Stearns P.
6372
Osaka N.
4661

Peyton Stearns defeated Naomi Osaka 6-4 3-6 7-6 in the Rome round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Naomi Osaka came in ranked #13, defending last year's round of 16.

Key context

  • Match story: Peyton Stearns closed it out in three sets, 6–4 3–6 7–6.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
65%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
57%
62%
Return points won·Even
43%
43%
Break points saved·Even
56%
59%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.6
6.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.6
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (71 vs 76). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
45
93
Break points saved·Dominant
43
85
Break points won·Even
96
98
Deciding sets·Dominant
17
97
Tiebreaks·Even
86
86

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
80
90

Stearns P.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 52 games (7d) · Osaka N.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast

Draw