Jasmine Paolini vs Naomi Osaka — Miami Round of 16
Miami · WTA · Round of 16
ITA6#15WTA
1905ELO
1873Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$16MCAREER
30 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 18 March 2025 ·
hard
JPN#13WTA
1987ELO
1922Hard ELO
$1.8MYTD
$26MCAREER
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
Paolini J.3-6 6-4 6-4
Osaka N.
Paolini J.
3662
Osaka N.
6441
Jasmine Paolini defeated Naomi Osaka 3-6 6-4 6-4 in the Miami round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Naomi Osaka came in ranked #13, defending last year's round of 32.
Key context
- Match story: Jasmine Paolini dropped the opening set before beating Naomi Osaka 3–6 6–4 6–4.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
58%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
61%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
57%
62%
Return points won·Even
44%
43%
Break points saved·Even
56%
58%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.4
6.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.6
2.9
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (94 vs 76). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressureClutch Rating·Clear edge
77
93
Break points saved·Dominant
46
85
Break points won·Even
96
98
Deciding sets·Even
95
97
Tiebreaks·Even
86
86
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadFreshness·
—
90
Osaka N.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast