Holger Rune vs Daniil MedvedevIndian Wells Masters Semi-final

Indian Wells Masters · ATP · Semi-final
#102ATP
1757ELO
1725Hard ELO
$0YTD
$16MCAREER
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 5 March 2025 ·
hard
#7ATP
1977ELO
1962Hard ELO
$2.5MYTD
$52MCAREER
30 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWLWWL
Rune H.
7-5 6-4
Medvedev D.
Rune H.
762
Medvedev D.
540

Holger Rune defeated Daniil Medvedev 7-5 6-4 in the Indian Wells Masters semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Daniil Medvedev came in ranked #7, leading the head-to-head 2–1, defending last year's final. Holger Rune narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-03-04Indian Wells MastersQFhardDaniil Medvedev7-5 6-4
2023-05-08Rome MastersFclayDaniil Medvedev7-5 7-5
2023-04-10Monte Carlo MastersQFclayHolger Rune6-3 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
49%
Service points won·Even
65%
66%
Return points won·Even
37%
40%
Break points saved·Even
65%
62%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.6
8.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.9
4.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (55 vs 108). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
92
96
Break points saved·Even
98
99
Break points won·Slight edge
87
98
Deciding sets·Even
95
98
Tiebreaks·Even
98
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
72

Medvedev D.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 55 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast

Draw