Holger Rune vs Ugo HumbertIndian Wells Masters Round of 32

Indian Wells Masters · ATP · Round of 32
#102ATP
1757ELO
1725Hard ELO
$0YTD
$16MCAREER
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 5 March 2025 ·
hard
#30ATP
1868ELO
1843Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLLWWWW
Rune H.
5-7 6-4 7-5
Humbert U.
Rune H.
5672
Humbert U.
7451

Holger Rune defeated Ugo Humbert 5-7 6-4 7-5 in the Indian Wells Masters round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Ugo Humbert came in ranked #30, defending last year's round of 32, but Holger Rune had been the form player, winning 2 of their last 4 on hard. Holger Rune extended the head-to-head to 5–1.

Key context

Head to head

41
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-13StockholmSFhardUgo Humbert4-6 2-2
2025-10-01Shanghai MastersR32hardHolger Rune6-4 6-4
2023-01-16Australian OpenR32hardHolger Rune6-4 6-2 7-6
2022-10-24BaselR16hardHolger Rune6-4 6-2
2022-03-07Indian Wells MastersR128hardHolger Rune6-3 6-2

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
54%
Service points won·Even
65%
67%
Return points won·Even
37%
35%
Break points saved·Even
65%
65%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.5
6.9
Double faults / match·Even
2.8
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (55 vs 78). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
92
42
Break points saved·Even
98
98
Break points won·Dominant
87
25
Deciding sets·Dominant
95
28
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
98
91

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
90

Humbert U.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast

Draw