Mackenzie Mcdonald vs Alejandro Davidovich FokinaIndian Wells Masters Round of 128

Indian Wells Masters · ATP · Round of 128
#144ATP
1606ELO
1604Hard ELO
$243kYTD
$7.2MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 5 March 2025 ·
hard
#27ATP
1893ELO
1842Hard ELO
$1.0MYTD
$12MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWWWW
Mcdonald M.
2-6 6-3 6-2
Davidovich Fokina A.
Mcdonald M.
2662
Davidovich Fokina A.
6321

Mackenzie Mcdonald defeated Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 2-6 6-3 6-2 in the Indian Wells Masters round of 128 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alejandro Davidovich Fokina came in ranked #27, leading the head-to-head 3–0, defending last year's round of 64. Mackenzie Mcdonald claimed a first win over Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in four meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Head to head

03
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-02-10Delray BeachR16hardAlejandro Davidovich Fokina6-2 5-7 6-0
2023-08-07Canada MastersQFhardAlejandro Davidovich Fokina6-4 6-2
2021-11-08StockholmR32hardAlejandro Davidovich Fokina6-2 3-6 7-5

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
53%
Service points won·Even
63%
64%
Return points won·Even
37%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
61%
66%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.4
3.9
Double faults / match·Even
2.2
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (91 vs 107). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
29
87
Break points saved·Slight edge
87
96
Break points won·Clear edge
73
94
Deciding sets·Dominant
7
90
Tiebreaks·Dominant
10
79

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
88

Mcdonald M.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast

Draw